IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 79.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.67x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 77% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 47.0% — normal range
Effective IV 105.6% (ATM 47.0% + spread 29.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 39.38% (spread 29.30% + slippage 10.08%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.78 (vega 2.295 / spread 29.30%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +53% (strong bullish) — Raw: +53%
|OI skew| 75.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew -9.4%, OI skew +75.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 18%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +57%, ATM: +49%, OTM: +60% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 63% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 8% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction +53 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 29.3% — wide
OI 184,938 — deep
Volume 1,022/day — adequate
$1.46 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 78% — wider than sector
Depth 510.79999999999995 contracts (bid:381.9 ask:128.9) — deep
Avg slippage 10.08% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.3% — contango
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink -7.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 201.33 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +53% @ 76% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.