IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.22x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 92% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 79.2% — normal range
Effective IV 108.4% (ATM 79.2% + spread 14.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 23.47% (spread 14.60% + slippage 8.87%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 15.55 (vega 22.701 / spread 14.60%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +9%
|OI skew| 2.9% — balanced
Vol skew +5.6%, OI skew -2.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +15%, ATM: -5%, OTM: +14% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 6% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.6% — wide
OI 152,618 — deep
Volume 3,742/day — adequate
$0.73 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 240.8 contracts (bid:121.9 ask:118.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.87% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -3.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 85% — seller opportunity
IV kink -11.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 563.30 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 36 (ITM 20% + inst 6%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.