WWayfair Inc.
W Options Overview
IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
W Gamma Walls
W Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where W sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (0.72) — options are pricing vol 48% below what the stock has actually been realizing, and downside puts carry 0.1 IV points more than at-the-money, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.57): it is trading 6% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.52x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 85% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 56.2% — normal range
Effective IV 73.0% (ATM 56.2% + spread 8.4% + bias) — fair
Total drag 16.86% (spread 8.41% + slippage 8.45%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 13.70 (vega 11.521 / spread 8.41%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +41% (strong bullish) — Raw: +31%
|OI skew| 11.8% — balanced
Vol skew +72.7%, OI skew -11.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 49%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: +26%, OTM: +45% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 14% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -9.4% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 65% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 57% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction +41 (bullish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.4% — wide
OI 198,336 — deep
Volume 7,707/day — active
$0.42 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Depth 165.60000000000002 contracts (bid:91.2 ask:74.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.45% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.0% — contango
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 104.74 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +41% @ 70% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 87 (ITM 20% + inst 57%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.