Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 54.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.45x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 52% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.3% — normal range
Effective IV 124.4% (ATM 37.3% + spread 43.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 64.51% (spread 43.53% + slippage 20.98%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 22.10 (vega 96.202 / spread 43.53%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -77% (strong bearish) — Raw: -68%
|OI skew| 3.0% — balanced
Vol skew +94.6%, OI skew +3.0% — aligned
0-DTE 12%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: +48%, OTM: -88% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.9x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 4.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 69% — urgent
Conviction -77 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 43.5% — wide
OI 4,392 — thin
Volume 186/day — thin
$2.18 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Depth 44.4 contracts (bid:28.4 ask:16.0) — thin
Avg slippage 20.98% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 55% — neutral
IV kink 2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 988.72 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -77% @ 88% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.