IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 0.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.18x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 7% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 20.4% — normal range
Effective IV 107.9% (ATM 20.4% + spread 43.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 58.26% (spread 43.74% + slippage 14.52%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.84 (vega 12.420 / spread 43.74%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -15% (bearish) — Raw: -11%
|OI skew| 37.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +9.0%, OI skew +37.5% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -40%, OTM: -6% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 19% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -15 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 43.7% — wide
OI 9,490 — thin
Volume 134/day — thin
$2.19 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 16% — much tighter than sector
Depth 87.0 contracts (bid:48.0 ask:39.0) — thin
Avg slippage 14.52% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 1% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 270.59 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.