Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal
ATM IV 0.0% — normal range
Effective IV 33.0% (ATM 0.0% + spread 16.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 23.98% (spread 16.49% + slippage 7.49%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 16.49%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +70% (strong bullish) — Raw: +55%
|OI skew| 12.3% — balanced
Vol skew -14.9%, OI skew +12.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 4%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -33%, ATM: +73%, OTM: +47% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 73% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 4.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 71% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 36% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 42% — patient
Conviction +70 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.5% — wide
OI 22,577 — adequate
Volume 898/day — adequate
$0.82 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Depth 50.1 contracts (bid:23.3 ask:26.8) — thin
Avg slippage 7.49% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 50% — neutral
IV kink 2.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +70% @ 85% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 66 (ITM 20% + inst 36%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.