IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.21x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 94.5% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 145.2% (ATM 94.5% + spread 25.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 31.80% (spread 25.33% + slippage 6.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.20 (vega 20.764 / spread 25.33%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +17% (bullish) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 38.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew -9.1%, OI skew +38.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 52%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +41%, ATM: +100%, OTM: -20% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 80% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +48.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 64% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 24% — patient
Conviction +17 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.3% — wide
OI 17,852 — adequate
Volume 517/day — adequate
$1.27 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 87.6 contracts (bid:40.4 ask:47.2) — thin
Avg slippage 6.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.5% — contango
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink -14.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 603.59 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +17% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.