IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 74.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.46x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.87x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.3% — normal range
Effective IV 60.7% (ATM 44.3% + spread 8.2% + bias) — good value
Total drag 14.27% (spread 8.21% + slippage 6.06%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.66 (vega 3.824 / spread 8.21%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +45% (strong bullish) — Raw: +43%
|OI skew| 11.8% — balanced
Vol skew +88.5%, OI skew -11.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 75%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +65%, ATM: +29%, OTM: -30% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 6.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.9% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 68% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 55% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +45 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.2% — wide
OI 19,067 — adequate
Volume 1,307/day — adequate
$0.41 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector
Depth 38.3 contracts (bid:19.9 ask:18.4) — thin
Avg slippage 6.06% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -13.4% — contango
IV percentile 74% — seller opportunity
IV kink -6.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.71 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +45% @ 72% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 85 (ITM 20% + inst 55%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.