Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 48.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 72% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 35.5% — normal range
Effective IV 96.5% (ATM 35.5% + spread 30.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 40.23% (spread 30.51% + slippage 9.72%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.17 (vega 6.623 / spread 30.51%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -51% (strong bearish) — Raw: -43%
|OI skew| 43.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +11.1%, OI skew +43.8% — aligned
0-DTE 14%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +2%, ATM: -48%, OTM: -50% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 70% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 19% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 39% — patient
Conviction -51 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 30.5% — wide
OI 60,274 — deep
Volume 754/day — adequate
$1.53 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 77% — wider than sector
Depth 291.4 contracts (bid:180.1 ask:111.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.72% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 48% — neutral
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1141.98 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 13d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -51% @ 76% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.