WYNNWynn Resorts Ltd
WYNN Options Overview
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
WYNN Gamma Walls
WYNN Hedge Radar
Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where WYNN sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.95) — downside puts carry 0.1 IV points more than at-the-money, and implied vol sits in the 12th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (7.5): it is trading 12% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 60.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.41x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 48% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.4% — normal range
Effective IV 66.6% (ATM 34.4% + spread 16.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 23.77% (spread 16.08% + slippage 7.69%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.33 (vega 5.361 / spread 16.08%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +10% (neutral) — Raw: +12%
|OI skew| 35.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew -44.1%, OI skew +35.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +44%, ATM: +11%, OTM: +10% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -14.1% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 20% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 4% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction +10 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.1% — wide
OI 263,312 — deep
Volume 6,724/day — active
$0.80 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Depth 211.3 contracts (bid:88.8 ask:122.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.69% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 61% — neutral
IV kink 1.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 38.32 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 34 (ITM 20% + inst 4%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.