Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 69.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.21x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 59% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 41.9% — normal range
Effective IV 78.9% (ATM 41.9% + spread 18.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 27.00% (spread 18.50% + slippage 8.50%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 28.09 (vega 51.962 / spread 18.50%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -15% (bearish) — Raw: -13%
|OI skew| 46.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +8.3%, OI skew +46.9% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 16%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -73%, ATM: +10%, OTM: -18% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 0% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -15 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.5% — wide
OI 294,629 — deep
Volume 1,357/day — adequate
$0.93 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 60% — wider than sector
Depth 126.7 contracts (bid:66.7 ask:60.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.50% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 69% — neutral
IV kink -0.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2637.65 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -15% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.