bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 42.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.30x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 39% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.17x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.9% — normal range
Effective IV 81.1% (ATM 33.9% + spread 23.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 30.87% (spread 23.60% + slippage 7.27%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 10.51 (vega 24.801 / spread 23.60%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -47% (strong bearish) — Raw: -52%
|OI skew| 13.6% — balanced
Vol skew -45.3%, OI skew +13.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 67%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +46%, ATM: -96%, OTM: -6% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 87% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 11% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction -47 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 23.6% — wide
OI 18,424 — adequate
Volume 190/day — thin
$1.18 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 41% — neutral vs sector
Depth 39.6 contracts (bid:22.8 ask:16.8) — thin
Avg slippage 7.27% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +17.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 43% — neutral
IV kink 4.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 568.83 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -47% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.