IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 6.2% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.36x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 4% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 24.1% — normal range
Effective IV 43.5% (ATM 24.1% + spread 9.7% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 14.92% (spread 9.70% + slippage 5.22%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 32.73 (vega 31.745 / spread 9.70%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +19%
|OI skew| 23.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew -64.7%, OI skew +23.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 55%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -79%, ATM: +87%, OTM: -71% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.3x avg — hot
Vol/OI 5.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 24% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.7% — wide
OI 19,506 — adequate
Volume 981/day — adequate
$0.48 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 6% — much tighter than sector
Depth 45.1 contracts (bid:26.5 ask:18.6) — thin
Avg slippage 5.22% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +14.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 6% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 729.78 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.