Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 36.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.54x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 27% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.4% — normal range
Effective IV 62.1% (ATM 32.4% + spread 14.8% + bias) — good value
Total drag 20.46% (spread 14.85% + slippage 5.61%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.32 (vega 1.967 / spread 14.85%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +49% (strong bullish) — Raw: +40%
|OI skew| 16.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew -20.6%, OI skew +16.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 3%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: +0%, OTM: +38% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 76% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 12% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction +49 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.8% — wide
OI 8,885 — thin
Volume 68/day — thin
$0.74 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 31% — tighter than sector
Depth 76.69999999999999 contracts (bid:30.9 ask:45.8) — thin
Avg slippage 5.61% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +13.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 36% — neutral
IV kink 3.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 5.59 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +49% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.