IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 83.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.61x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 56% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.12x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 50.3% — normal range
Effective IV 92.9% (ATM 50.3% + spread 21.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 43.38% (spread 21.32% + slippage 22.06%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.04 (vega 53.379 / spread 21.32%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: +23%
|OI skew| 31.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +19.3%, OI skew +31.0% — aligned
0-DTE 47%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +71%, ATM: -20%, OTM: +27% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 59% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 10% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.3% — wide
OI 3,685 — thin
Volume 57/day — thin
$1.07 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 57% — neutral vs sector
Depth 32.8 contracts (bid:19.1 ask:13.7) — thin
Avg slippage 22.06% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 83% — seller opportunity
IV kink 5.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 488.82 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 25d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 63% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.