Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 45.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.53x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 41% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.20x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.4% — normal range
Effective IV 59.5% (ATM 34.4% + spread 12.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 17.91% (spread 12.54% + slippage 5.37%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 32.07 (vega 40.221 / spread 12.54%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +15% (bullish) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 53.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew -39.5%, OI skew +53.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 21%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -20%, ATM: -32%, OTM: +28% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.7x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 3.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 61% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 11% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 62% — urgent
Conviction +15 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.5% — wide
OI 64,951 — deep
Volume 2,262/day — adequate
$0.63 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Depth 59.6 contracts (bid:21.0 ask:38.6) — thin
Avg slippage 5.37% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 45% — neutral
IV kink 6.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1340.68 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 20d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +15% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 41 (ITM 20% + inst 11%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.