IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 12.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.11x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 1% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.0% — normal range
Effective IV 32.6% (ATM 26.0% + spread 3.3% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 5.16% (spread 3.29% + slippage 1.87%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 248.03 (vega 81.600 / spread 3.29%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 17.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +22.1%, OI skew +17.2% — aligned
0-DTE 65%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +17%, ATM: +3%, OTM: +2% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 36% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 17.6% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 59% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.3% — acceptable
OI 5,403,058 — deep
Volume 950,737/day — active
$0.16 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 3% — much tighter than sector
Depth 177.1 contracts (bid:92.5 ask:84.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.87% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.9% — contango
IV percentile 12% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1095.31 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.