unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 47.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.25x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 34% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 35.1% — normal range
Effective IV 41.1% (ATM 35.1% + spread 3.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 4.72% (spread 2.98% + slippage 1.74%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 246.38 (vega 73.420 / spread 2.98%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 20.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +33.0%, OI skew +20.5% — aligned
0-DTE 43%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +15%, ATM: +9%, OTM: -1% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 30% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 13.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 25% — mixed
Aggressive execution 54% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.0% — acceptable
OI 5,013,222 — deep
Volume 663,470/day — active
$0.15 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 38% — tighter than sector
Depth 191.2 contracts (bid:94.1 ask:97.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.74% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.4% — contango
IV percentile 47% — neutral
IV kink -2.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1007.13 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.