IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 75.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.89x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 3.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 73.6% — normal range
Effective IV 78.1% (ATM 73.6% + spread 2.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 4.14% (spread 2.26% + slippage 1.88%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 2.26%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 20.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +24.7%, OI skew +20.7% — aligned
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -1%, ATM: +1%, OTM: +6% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 32% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 14.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 24% — mixed
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.3% — acceptable
OI 4,483,053 — deep
Volume 631,389/day — active
$0.11 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector
Depth 225.9 contracts (bid:119.5 ask:106.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.88% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +210.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 76% — seller opportunity
IV kink 68.4pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 0d (HIGH RISK)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.