FFord Motor Company
Options Analysis Report•MOTOR VEHICLES & PASSENGER CAR BODIES
Market Cap $49.7B|NYSE
● 2026-04-30$12.24
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-04-29 EOD data
1Y +22.3%YTD -8.2%7D -1.9%
Options Vol
139,418
30D
Implied Move
±12.6%
IV Rank
67%
F Options Overview
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
2.5
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 70.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.35x — IV premium over HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 2.25x — backwardation
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 44.5% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 85.7% (ATM 44.5% + spread 20.6% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 26.90% (spread 20.60% + slippage 6.30%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 2.36 (vega 4.870 / spread 20.60%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
5.0
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBullish - Weak signal (Conviction: +14%, Raw: +9%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +9%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 1.2% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew -9.8%, OI skew +1.2% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: -39%, ATM: +10%, OTM: +11% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 68% — bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
6.0
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 1.9x avg — elevated
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 8.7% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +4.0% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 60% — active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 49% — institutional presence
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 65% — urgent
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
4.3
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 20.6% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 1,609,345 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 139,418/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$1.03 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 64% — wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 1,021.2 contracts (bid:542.0 ask:479.2) — deep
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 6.30% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.9
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +124.6% — backwardation
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 39.8pts — event priced
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 2435.00 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations4 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No events detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 79 (ITM 20% + inst 49%) — HIGH institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls4.5
bullishIV expensive, mixed flow
Long Puts4.5
bearishIV expensive, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put6.0
bullishIV rich premium, mixed flow
Covered Call6.0
bearishIV rich premium, mixed flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.