IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.93x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 76.5% — normal range
Effective IV 86.3% (ATM 76.5% + spread 4.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 7.04% (spread 4.90% + slippage 2.14%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 15.21 (vega 7.451 / spread 4.90%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 25.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +64.4%, OI skew +25.6% — aligned
0-DTE 46%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +14%, ATM: -6%, OTM: +13% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 12% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 22.6% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 96% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 23% — mixed
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.9% — acceptable
OI 2,114,949 — deep
Volume 477,717/day — active
$0.24 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 298.5 contracts (bid:156.0 ask:142.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.14% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 5.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 40.69 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 53 (ITM 20% + inst 23%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.