bullish flow with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 48.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.17x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 11% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 41.5% — normal range
Effective IV 47.0% (ATM 41.5% + spread 2.7% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 5.01% (spread 2.73% + slippage 2.28%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 41.31 (vega 11.277 / spread 2.73%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 10.5% — balanced
Vol skew +27.3%, OI skew +10.5% — aligned
0-DTE 33%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -6%, ATM: -3%, OTM: -5% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 38% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 30.8% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 98% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 32% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 62% — urgent
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.7% — acceptable
OI 13,645,419 — deep
Volume 4,199,501/day — active
$0.14 to cross — cheap
38 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 13% — much tighter than sector
Depth 505.5 contracts (bid:254.7 ask:250.8) — deep
Avg slippage 2.28% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.8% — contango
IV percentile 48% — neutral
IV kink -2.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 24.83 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 30d (low risk); FOMC in 2d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 62 (ITM 20% + inst 32%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.