IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 79.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.05x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 88% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 64.9% — normal range
Effective IV 76.4% (ATM 64.9% + spread 5.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 10.07% (spread 5.76% + slippage 4.31%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.64 (vega 5.553 / spread 5.76%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 35.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +51.8%, OI skew +35.0% — aligned
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -5%, ATM: +5%, OTM: +11% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 17% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 31% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 65% — urgent
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.8% — wide
OI 4,613,232 — deep
Volume 327,214/day — active
$0.29 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 1,145.6999999999998 contracts (bid:603.9 ask:541.8) — deep
Avg slippage 4.31% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.4% — contango
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 750.42 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 61 (ITM 20% + inst 31%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.