IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 84.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.78x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 91% — above sector median
Front/Back 3.91x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 95.3% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 105.9% (ATM 95.3% + spread 5.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 10.08% (spread 5.28% + slippage 4.80%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 5.28%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -3% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 36.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +43.8%, OI skew +36.8% — aligned
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: -8%, OTM: -1% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 18% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 19.5% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.4% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 91% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 66% — urgent
Conviction -3 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.3% — wide
OI 4,123,187 — deep
Volume 802,674/day — active
$0.26 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 1,184.2 contracts (bid:547.5 ask:636.7) — deep
Avg slippage 4.80% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +290.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 84% — seller opportunity
IV kink 164.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.