IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 73.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.56x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 37% — below sector median
Front/Back 3.64x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 70.8% — normal range
Effective IV 77.2% (ATM 70.8% + spread 3.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 5.72% (spread 3.22% + slippage 2.50%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 94.46 (vega 30.415 / spread 3.22%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: -0%
|OI skew| 12.4% — balanced
Vol skew +8.9%, OI skew +12.4% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 41%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -5%, ATM: +28%, OTM: -2% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 62% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 35.8% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 25% — mixed
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.2% — acceptable
OI 4,823,059 — deep
Volume 1,724,156/day — active
$0.16 to cross — cheap
6 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 38% — tighter than sector
Depth 246.0 contracts (bid:118.5 ask:127.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.50% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +263.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 73% — seller opportunity
IV kink 80.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 66.39 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 0d (HIGH RISK)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.