AMZNAmazon.Com Inc
AMZN Options Overview
bullish flow with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
AMZN Gamma Walls
AMZN Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where AMZN sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.08) — near-dated vol is priced 28% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 2th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (2.84): its realized-vol regime is contracting, and it is trading 3% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 44.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 27% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.72x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 29.7% — normal range
Effective IV 35.7% (ATM 29.7% + spread 3.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 5.82% (spread 3.02% + slippage 2.80%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 50.81 (vega 15.346 / spread 3.02%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +2%
|OI skew| 17.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +34.1%, OI skew +17.9% — aligned
0-DTE 28%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +10%, ATM: +1%, OTM: +3% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 26% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 15.4% — high turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.0% — acceptable
OI 4,766,043 — deep
Volume 736,110/day — active
$0.15 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 28% — tighter than sector
Depth 261.4 contracts (bid:124.2 ask:137.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.80% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -27.5% — contango
IV percentile 45% — neutral
IV kink -7.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 67.49 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: FOMC in 2d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 14, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.