IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 73.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.66x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 72% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.5% — normal range
Effective IV 77.9% (ATM 44.5% + spread 16.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 22.91% (spread 16.70% + slippage 6.21%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.70 (vega 1.174 / spread 16.70%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +30% (strong bullish) — Raw: +27%
|OI skew| 14.1% — balanced
Vol skew +38.6%, OI skew +14.1% — aligned
0-DTE 32%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +44%, ATM: +10%, OTM: +31% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 72% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 41% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 58% — patient
Conviction +30 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.7% — wide
OI 2,623,583 — deep
Volume 163,912/day — active
$0.83 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 74% — wider than sector
Depth 1,053.4 contracts (bid:578.9 ask:474.5) — deep
Avg slippage 6.21% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +3.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 73% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 67.84 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +30% @ 65% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 71 (ITM 20% + inst 41%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.