IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.61x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 26% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.85x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.0% — normal range
Effective IV 50.6% (ATM 44.0% + spread 3.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 4.77% (spread 3.28% + slippage 1.49%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 433.42 (vega 142.160 / spread 3.28%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 10.1% — balanced
Vol skew +24.6%, OI skew +10.1% — aligned
0-DTE 50%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: -6%, OTM: +6% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 43% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 16.2% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 80% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 25% — mixed
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.3% — acceptable
OI 3,028,721 — deep
Volume 491,756/day — active
$0.16 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 230.3 contracts (bid:107.5 ask:122.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.49% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +85.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 70% — seller opportunity
IV kink 28.7pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1824.91 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.