IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.26x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 2.56x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 157.6% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 169.3% (ATM 157.6% + spread 5.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 8.35% (spread 5.85% + slippage 2.50%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 5.85%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: -0%
|OI skew| 20.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +25.7%, OI skew +20.8% — aligned
0-DTE 54%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -13%, ATM: -0%, OTM: +8% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 39% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 11.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -3.5% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 25% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.8% — wide
OI 1,604,785 — deep
Volume 191,511/day — active
$0.29 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 357.8 contracts (bid:163.8 ask:194.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.50% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +156.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink 79.2pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 55 (ITM 20% + inst 25%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.