AAPXT-Rex 2X Long Apple Daily Target ETF
AAPX Options Overview
IV is elevated with bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
AAPX Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.29x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 87% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 50.5% — normal range
Effective IV 134.7% (ATM 50.5% + spread 42.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 45.39% (spread 42.08% + slippage 3.31%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.58 (vega 10.876 / spread 42.08%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -78% (strong bearish) — Raw: -81%
|OI skew| 4.4% — balanced
Vol skew -62.5%, OI skew +4.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: +33%, OTM: -93% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 97% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.2x avg — hot
Vol/OI 28.3% — high turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +28.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 0% — patient
Conviction -78 (bearish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 42.1% — wide
OI 113 — thin
Volume 32/day — thin
$2.10 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 246.0 contracts (bid:122.8 ask:123.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.31% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.8% — contango
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 701.70 — favors income trades
2 liquid expirations — limited
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -78% @ 89% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.