What the Options Market Is Pricing Into the Week Ahead
Published every Friday after the close, live through the week: the move options price into every US stock reporting that week (Mon–Fri) — versus how much each has actually moved on its past prints, and what it does when it reports — plus the SPY/QQQ/IWM expected ranges, the walls that box them in, and the week’s US macro.
The Index Read · What Options Price for the Week
This week’s US macro: CB Consumer Confidence, PCE Price Index YoY, Personal Spending MoM, Core PCE Price Index MoM, Core PCE Price Index YoY. Here’s the weekly move options are pricing across the majors — and the walls that box it in.
● Put wall — support. Heavy put positioning tends to act as a floor.
● Hedge wall — the pivot. Above it moves dampen (range-bound); below it they accelerate.
● Call wall — resistance. Heavy call positioning tends to cap the upside.
Walls move every trading day; these are Friday’s close (Aug 21). OptionPilot recomputes them each morning before the open.
The Earnings Read · Every US Name Reporting This Week (Mon–Fri)
What the options market priced into each report — versus how much the stock has actually moved on its past prints. Sorted by market cap within each day.
| Stock & report | Mkt cap | Options implied | Actual move avg · max | The tell |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Aug 24 | ||||
| PDDpre-mkt | $126B | ±7.7% | ±11.2% max 29% | CAN RUN MORE |
| XPEVpre-mkt | $12B | ±9.8% | ±7.5% max 13% | 1.3× RICH |
| GRRRpost-mkt | $398M | ±16.7% | ±15.3% max 34% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| Tue Aug 25 | ||||
| INTUpost-mkt | $100B | ±9.3% | ±6.6% max 13% | 1.4× RICH |
| ZMpost-mkt | $32B | ±8.8% | ±9.0% max 13% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| Wed Aug 26 | ||||
| NVDApost-mkt | $5.2T | ±6.1% | ±4.0% max 9% | 1.5× RICH |
| CRWDpost-mkt | $195B | ±8.8% | ±4.4% max 6% | 2.0× RICH |
| CRMpost-mkt | $171B | ±8.0% | ±4.7% max 11% | 1.7× RICH |
| SNPSpost-mkt | $76B | ±8.9% | ±10.2% max 36% | CAN RUN MORE |
| HPQpost-mkt | $27B | ±10.2% | ±5.1% max 11% | 2.0× RICH |
| OKTApost-mkt | $22B | ±12.9% | ±11.6% max 24% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| LIpre-mkt | $13B | ±7.1% | ±6.0% max 16% | 1.2× RICH |
| URBNpost-mkt | $6B | ±9.2% | ±12.6% max 23% | CAN RUN MORE |
| ANFpre-mkt | $5B | ±12.8% | ±13.2% max 38% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| BBWIpre-mkt | $4B | ±12.1% | ±11.0% max 25% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| KSSpre-mkt | $2B | ±14.3% | ±16.4% max 43% | CAN RUN MORE |
| TIGRpre-mkt | $952M | ±9.0% | ±9.5% max 22% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| Thu Aug 27 | ||||
| MRVLpost-mkt | $208B | ±11.3% | ±14.6% max 23% | CAN RUN MORE |
| ADSKpost-mkt | $54B | ±9.7% | ±4.3% max 9% | 2.3× RICH |
| WDAYpost-mkt | $52B | ±7.4% | ±7.2% max 13% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| DGpre-mkt | $27B | ±8.9% | ±11.4% max 32% | CAN RUN MORE |
| AFRMpost-mkt | $26B | ±11.8% | ±14.2% max 32% | CAN RUN MORE |
| DLTRpre-mkt | $25B | ±9.5% | ±9.4% max 22% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| ULTApost-mkt | $22B | ±9.1% | ±8.9% max 14% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| RBRKpost-mkt | $21B | ±13.4% | ±13.1% max 28% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| BURLpre-mkt | $21B | ±8.4% | ±5.9% max 12% | 1.4× RICH |
| BBYpre-mkt | $18B | ±8.2% | ±8.0% max 14% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| IRENpre-mkt | $15B | ±13.7% | ±13.0% max 30% | FAIRLY PRICED |
| HRLpre-mkt | $13B | ±6.1% | ±4.5% max 13% | 1.4× RICH |
| BILIpre-mkt | $7B | ±9.1% | ±7.9% max 15% | 1.2× RICH |
| Spost-mkt | $7B | ±12.4% | ±8.0% max 14% | 1.6× RICH |
| GAPpost-mkt | $7B | ±10.1% | ±11.8% max 20% | CAN RUN MORE |
| PURR | $1B | ±16.1% | — | LIMITED HISTORY |
| CSIQpre-mkt | $988M | ±11.9% | ±10.7% max 19% | FAIRLY PRICED |
Implied = live ATM straddle for the expiry covering the report. Actual move = the stock’s own 1-day earnings reaction over its last reported quarters — avg is typical, max the biggest. “pre/post-mkt” = reports before the open / after the close. “Can run more” = options price less than history; “rich” = more; “outsized premium” = far above (usually a special catalyst).
Past weeks
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Educational, not investment advice. Options involve risk. Implied moves reflect live at-the-money straddle prices and can shift intraday; historical moves are averages of past reported quarters and are not a forecast.