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AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.

Options Analysis Report•BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING
Market Cap $2.9B|NYSE
● 2026-08-31$226.23
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +61.2%YTD +11.4%7D +7.8%
215
30D
±16.8%
13%

AMR Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.0VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn
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AMR Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.8
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 82.3% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 83% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.02x — flat

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 58.2% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 83.9% (ATM 58.2% + spread 12.8% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 16.42% (spread 12.84% + slippage 3.58%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 25.84 (vega 33.179 / spread 12.84%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.6
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +27%, Raw: +18%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +27% (bullish) — Raw: +18%

≥15%

|OI skew| 8.7% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -11.6%, OI skew +8.7% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +51%, ATM: +53%, OTM: +1% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 87% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.8
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.6x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 3.0% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +17.6% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 79% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 18% — patient

≥30

Conviction +27 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.8
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 12.8% — wide

≥10,000

OI 7,114 — thin

≥500

Volume 215/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.64 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 24.9 contracts (bid:9.5 ask:15.4) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 3.58% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +1.9% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.3pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 151.02 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +27% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.5
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts5.1
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.9
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call4.4
bearishIV fair, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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