AOSA.O. Smith Corporation
AOS Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
AOS Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 39.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.88x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 44% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.71x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 27.5% — normal range
Effective IV 78.3% (ATM 27.5% + spread 25.4% + bias) — fair
Total drag 31.73% (spread 25.38% + slippage 6.35%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.24 (vega 5.695 / spread 25.38%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -10% (bearish) — Raw: -9%
|OI skew| 8.8% — balanced
Vol skew +21.6%, OI skew +8.8% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -26%, OTM: -1% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.6% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +35.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -10 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.4% — wide
OI 9,044 — thin
Volume 232/day — thin
$1.27 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Depth 58.5 contracts (bid:29.4 ask:29.1) — thin
Avg slippage 6.35% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -28.6% — contango
IV percentile 40% — neutral
IV kink -6.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 153.91 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.