APTVAptiv PLC
APTV Options Overview
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
APTV Gamma Walls
APTV Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where APTV sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (1.86) — options are pricing vol 43% below what the stock has actually been realizing, and near-dated vol is priced 7% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 26-trading-day realized moves (478 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (2.67): it is trading 9% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.59x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 43.5% — normal range
Effective IV 66.2% (ATM 43.5% + spread 11.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 16.76% (spread 11.35% + slippage 5.41%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 9.66 (vega 10.966 / spread 11.35%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -16% (bearish) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 53.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +6.5%, OI skew +53.9% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -92%, ATM: +40%, OTM: -15% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 60% — bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 32% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 51% — patient
Conviction -16 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.3% — wide
OI 44,540 — adequate
Volume 1,294/day — adequate
$0.57 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 137.6 contracts (bid:61.3 ask:76.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.41% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.6% — contango
IV percentile 87% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 496.18 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.