
ARRARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.
ARR Options Overview
IV is low with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
ARR Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 21.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.56x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 12% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.68x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 19.9% — normal range
Effective IV 88.9% (ATM 19.9% + spread 34.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 44.29% (spread 34.48% + slippage 9.81%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.37 (vega 1.284 / spread 34.48%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +11% (bullish) — Raw: -18%
|OI skew| 50.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +70.2%, OI skew +50.0% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +29%, ATM: +60%, OTM: -38% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 14% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.0% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 75% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mixed
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction +11 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 34.5% — wide
OI 22,050 — adequate
Volume 658/day — adequate
$1.72 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 60% — wider than sector
Depth 443.7 contracts (bid:304.9 ask:138.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.81% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -31.8% — contango
IV percentile 22% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -5.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 225.32 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +11% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.