Options/BCYC

BCYCBicycle Therapeutics plc American Depositary Shares

Options Analysis Report•PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

Market Cap $294M|NASDAQ

● 2026-08-31$4.20

NEUTRAL

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y -41.7%YTD -37.1%7D -3.0%

Options Vol

333

30D

Implied Move

±8.6%

IV Rank

56%

BCYC Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn

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BCYC Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.1

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 50% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.00x — flat

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 0.0% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 121.1% (ATM 0.0% + spread 60.5% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 85.55% (spread 60.55% + slippage 25.00%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 60.55%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.8

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +67%, Raw: +46%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +67% (strong bullish) — Raw: +46%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 28.8% — put-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -75.4%, OI skew -28.8% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +59% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 93% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.4

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks5/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 3.5x avg — hot

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 3.1% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 60% — heavy institutional

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 97% — highly urgent

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction +67 (bullish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.4

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 60.5% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 10,819 — adequate

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 333/day — thin

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$3.03 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 84.9 contracts (bid:47.7 ask:37.2) — thin

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 25.00% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.5

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope +0.0% — flat/unclear

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 50% — neutral

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +67% @ 84% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 90 (ITM 20% + inst 60%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls5.3

bullishIV fair, mixed flow

Long Puts4.7

bearishIV fair, mixed flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put5.2

bullishIV fair, mixed flow

Covered Call4.6

bearishIV fair, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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