Options/BILI

BILIBilibili Inc. American Depositary Shares

Options Analysis Report

Market Cap $6.9B|NASDAQ

● 2026-08-31$16.60

BEARISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y -25.9%YTD -37.0%7D +0.6%

Options Vol

10,157

30D

Implied Move

±10.8%

IV Rank

BILI Options Overview

IV is elevated with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn

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BILI Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.5

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 71.3% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.21x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 33% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.79x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 45.7% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 91.4% (ATM 45.7% + spread 22.9% + bias) — expensive

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 26.23% (spread 22.85% + slippage 3.38%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.15 (vega 0.342 / spread 22.85%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

2.5

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -53%, Raw: -40%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -53% (strong bearish) — Raw: -40%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 19.6% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -49.3%, OI skew +19.6% — divergent (opposite)

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -9%, ATM: -7%, OTM: -49% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 92% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.3

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks6/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 1.5x avg — elevated

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 5.6% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

2 day(s) elevated — sustained

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +6.5% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 57% — heavy institutional

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 38% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -53 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.5

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 22.9% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 182,683 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 10,157/day — active

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$1.14 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 60% — neutral vs sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 325.7 contracts (bid:163.1 ask:162.6) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 3.38% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.8

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -20.7% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -3.4pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 2.32 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -53% @ 77% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 87 (ITM 20% + inst 57%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls4.9

bullishIV cheap, bearish flow

Long Puts7.4

bearishIV cheap, bearish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put3.8

bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow

Covered Call5.5

bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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