Options/BITI
B

BITIProShares Short Bitcoin ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $125M|ARCX
2026-08-31$19.56
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +3.1%YTD -13.4%7D +1.6%
837
30D
±11.7%
4%

BITI Options Overview

bullish flow with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.5VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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BITI Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.1
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 50% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.93x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.00x — normal

<80%

ATM IV 0.0% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 78.5% (ATM 0.0% + spread 39.3% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 49.96% (spread 39.27% + slippage 10.69%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 39.27%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.7
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -24%, Raw: -23%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -24% (bearish) — Raw: -23%

≥15%

|OI skew| 64.7% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +87.3%, OI skew +64.7% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: -14%, OTM: -36% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 4% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

5.1
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.1x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 4.2% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +22.0% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 66% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 31% — institutional presence

≥60%

Aggressive execution 29% — patient

≥30

Conviction -24 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.5
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 39.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 19,725 — adequate

≥500

Volume 837/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$1.96 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 558.6 contracts (bid:280.5 ask:278.1) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 10.69% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -6.8% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 50% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -1.9pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -24% @ 62% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 61 (ITM 20% + inst 31%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.8
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts5.5
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.5
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.1
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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