CCUPT-REX 2X Long CRCL Daily Target ETF
CCUP Options Overview
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
CCUP Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 99.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.04x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 99% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 149.5% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 211.3% (ATM 149.5% + spread 30.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 33.72% (spread 30.92% + slippage 2.80%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.77 (vega 2.379 / spread 30.92%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -3% (neutral) — Raw: +11%
|OI skew| 84.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +9.1%, OI skew +84.2% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +20% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 43% — bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 57.9% — high turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -97.4% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 99% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 9% — patient
Conviction -3 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 30.9% — wide
OI 38 — thin
Volume 22/day — thin
$1.55 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 334.8 contracts (bid:184.3 ask:150.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.80% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -7.5% — contango
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink -7.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 26.44 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -3% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.