CNICanadian National Railway
CNI Options Overview
IV is low with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
CNI Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 23.0% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.48x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 2% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.79x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 20.5% — normal range
Effective IV 43.5% (ATM 20.5% + spread 11.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 18.82% (spread 11.48% + slippage 7.34%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 10.34 (vega 11.866 / spread 11.48%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +16% (bullish) — Raw: +25%
|OI skew| 50.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +21.1%, OI skew +50.3% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -17%, OTM: +64% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +16 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.5% — wide
OI 15,252 — adequate
Volume 213/day — thin
$0.57 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 39% — tighter than sector
Depth 48.6 contracts (bid:19.6 ask:29.0) — thin
Avg slippage 7.34% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -20.6% — contango
IV percentile 23% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 320.70 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.