CWCurtiss-Wright Corp.
CW Options Overview
Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
CW Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.08x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 62% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 41.8% — normal range
Effective IV 65.1% (ATM 41.8% + spread 11.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 14.72% (spread 11.63% + slippage 3.09%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 48.29 (vega 56.160 / spread 11.63%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -24% (bearish) — Raw: -18%
|OI skew| 2.5% — balanced
Vol skew +8.3%, OI skew -2.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -9% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.9% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 37% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 16% — patient
Conviction -24 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.6% — wide
OI 2,621 — thin
Volume 24/day — thin
$0.58 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 76% — wider than sector
Depth 12.4 contracts (bid:6.2 ask:6.2) — thin
Avg slippage 3.09% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.4% — contango
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink -3.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 104.19 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -24% @ 63% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.