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DEDeere & Company

Options Analysis ReportFARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
Market Cap $170.0B|NYSE
2026-08-31$630.33
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +32.2%YTD +35.0%7D -2.8%
3,789
30D
±7.7%
12%

DE Options Overview

Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.5VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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DE Gamma Walls

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DE Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where DE sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.53) — the move being priced is 1.63x this name's own median 19-trading-day move, and near-dated vol is priced 14% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.89): it is trading 0% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.53/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
4.89/ 10neutral
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

8.3
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 41.3% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.76x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 49% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.86x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 27.7% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 52.8% (ATM 27.7% + spread 12.5% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 19.48% (spread 12.54% + slippage 6.94%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 38.91 (vega 48.797 / spread 12.54%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.3
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +21%, Raw: +20%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +21% (bullish) — Raw: +20%

≥15%

|OI skew| 6.1% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +2.1%, OI skew -6.1% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +48%, ATM: +25%, OTM: +12% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 67% — bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.8
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.7x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 5.7% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +8.8% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 77% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 8% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 23% — patient

≥30

Conviction +21 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.4
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 12.5% — wide

≥10,000

OI 66,959 — deep

≥500

Volume 3,789/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.63 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 51% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 35.0 contracts (bid:17.6 ask:17.4) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.94% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -14.2% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 41% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -2.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 102.19 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +21% @ 60% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 38 (ITM 20% + inst 8%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.3
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts6.0
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.0
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call3.8
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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