
EXPEagle Materials, Inc.
EXP Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
EXP Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 54.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 27% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.90x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 34.4% — normal range
Effective IV 100.2% (ATM 34.4% + spread 32.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 38.12% (spread 32.91% + slippage 5.21%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.56 (vega 18.294 / spread 32.91%) — acceptable
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -36% (strong bearish) — Raw: -33%
|OI skew| 77.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew -100.0%, OI skew +77.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +0% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 71% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.1% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 1% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction -36 (bearish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 32.9% — wide
OI 5,304 — thin
Volume 3/day — thin
$1.65 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 60% — neutral vs sector
Depth 12.6 contracts (bid:7.3 ask:5.3) — thin
Avg slippage 5.21% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.1% — contango
IV percentile 54% — neutral
IV kink -2.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 119.18 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -36% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.