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FNVFranco-Nevada Corporation

Options Analysis Report
Market Cap $51.3B|NYSE
2026-08-31$266.16
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +39.8%YTD +27.6%7D -1.5%
778
30D
±11.5%
21%

FNV Options Overview

bearish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.5VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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FNV Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.6
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 65.4% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.09x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 45% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.97x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 41.3% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 63.0% (ATM 41.3% + spread 10.9% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 30.95% (spread 10.86% + slippage 20.09%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 23.32 (vega 25.325 / spread 10.86%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

1.0
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -74%, Raw: -72%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -74% (strong bearish) — Raw: -72%

≥15%

|OI skew| 8.4% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -27.2%, OI skew -8.4% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -5%, ATM: -44%, OTM: -77% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 89% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.2
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.8x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 4.2% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +8.0% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 74% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 16% — mixed

≥60%

Aggressive execution 39% — patient

≥30

Conviction -74 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 10.9% — wide

≥10,000

OI 18,677 — adequate

≥500

Volume 778/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.54 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 39.2 contracts (bid:21.7 ask:17.5) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 20.09% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.1
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -3.4% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 65% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink -1.4pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 102.41 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -74% @ 87% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 46 (ITM 20% + inst 16%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.2
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts7.9
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.1
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call5.9
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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