FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. Common Stock
FWRG Options Overview
IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
FWRG Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.38x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 64.3% — normal range
Effective IV 237.9% (ATM 64.3% + spread 86.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 119.37% (spread 86.81% + slippage 32.56%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.14 (vega 1.192 / spread 86.81%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -85% (strong bearish) — Raw: -81%
|OI skew| 70.5% — put-heavy
Vol skew -9.5%, OI skew -70.5% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -81% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 76% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.6% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -85 (bearish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 86.8% — wide
OI 6,188 — thin
Volume 347/day — thin
$4.34 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 884.7 contracts (bid:671.1 ask:213.6) — deep
Avg slippage 32.56% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.1% — contango
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink -7.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 62.06 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -85% @ 92% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.