IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.87x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 87% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.20x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 80.7% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 94.0% (ATM 80.7% + spread 6.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 10.02% (spread 6.63% + slippage 3.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.05 (vega 16.609 / spread 6.63%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 10.0% — balanced
Vol skew +31.3%, OI skew +10.0% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +15%, ATM: -5%, OTM: -2% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 41% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 16.9% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 35% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.6% — wide
OI 445,874 — deep
Volume 75,260/day — active
$0.33 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 183.8 contracts (bid:104.5 ask:79.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.39% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +20.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 98% — seller opportunity
IV kink 13.5pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 43.68 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 65 (ITM 20% + inst 35%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.