I

IYTiShares U.S. Transportation ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $2.2B|BATS
2026-08-31$86.39
VERY BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +22.4%YTD +14.7%7D -0.5%
5
30D
±5.8%
5%

IYT Options Overview

IV is low with bearish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.1VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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IYT Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.4
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 23.9% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.42x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 41% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.94x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 20.8% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 59.5% (ATM 20.8% + spread 19.4% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 27.49% (spread 19.35% + slippage 8.14%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 12.74 (vega 24.661 / spread 19.35%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

1.3
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -62%, Raw: -60%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -62% (strong bearish) — Raw: -60%

≥15%

|OI skew| 28.6% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -60.0%, OI skew -28.6% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: -60%, OTM: +0% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 96% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.1x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.1% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +1.2% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 5% — quiet vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 25% — patient

≥30

Conviction -62 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.2
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 19.4% — wide

≥10,000

OI 3,675 — thin

≥500

Volume 5/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.97 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 55% — neutral vs sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 53.8 contracts (bid:34.0 ask:19.8) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 8.14% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.3
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -5.6% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 24% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -0.7pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1550.99 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -62% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.5
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts8.1
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put2.8
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call5.3
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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