JKHYHenry (Jack) & Associates
JKHY Options Overview
bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
JKHY Gamma Walls
JKHY Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where JKHY sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the rich band (6.47) — the move being priced is 2.04x this name's own median 21-trading-day move, and near-dated vol is priced 155% above far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 21-trading-day realized moves (483 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.67): it is trading 2% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 58.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 14% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.0% — normal range
Effective IV 83.4% (ATM 32.0% + spread 25.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 33.80% (spread 25.72% + slippage 8.08%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.29 (vega 16.178 / spread 25.72%) — acceptable
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -18% (bearish) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 16.1% — put-heavy
Vol skew -76.8%, OI skew -16.1% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +82%, OTM: -17% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 97% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.7% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +39.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 34% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction -18 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 25.7% — wide
OI 3,495 — thin
Volume 164/day — thin
$1.29 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 15% — much tighter than sector
Depth 30.3 contracts (bid:8.2 ask:22.1) — thin
Avg slippage 8.08% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 58% — neutral
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 130.89 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -18% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.