Options/JMST
J

JMSTJPMorgan Ultra-Short Municipal Income ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $7.3B|ARCX
2026-08-31$50.95
VERY BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +0.1%YTD +0.0%7D +0.0%
20
30D
±2.3%
4%

JMST Options Overview

IV is low with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.4VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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JMST Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.2
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 0.3% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 5.90x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 0% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.00x — flat

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 4.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 194.3% (ATM 4.6% + spread 94.9% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 118.66% (spread 94.86% + slippage 23.80%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 94.86%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.9
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -33%, Raw: -33%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -33% (strong bearish) — Raw: -33%

≥15%

|OI skew| 92.9% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -100.0%, OI skew -92.9% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: -33%, OTM: +0% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 27% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

7.2
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks6/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.8x avg — elevated

≥15%

Vol/OI 71.4% — high turnover

≥2 days

2 day(s) elevated — sustained

≥5%

OI change +86.7% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 98% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 22% — patient

≥30

Conviction -33 (bearish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.6
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 94.9% — wide

≥10,000

OI 28 — thin

≥500

Volume 20/day — thin

≤$0.50

$4.74 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 25% — tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 106.6 contracts (bid:76.7 ask:29.9) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 23.80% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

5.9
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +0.0% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 0% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed

≥3 expirations

1 liquid expirations — limited

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -33% @ 62% consistency — moderate (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.2
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts6.9
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.6
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call4.4
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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