Options/JOBY

JOBYJoby Aviation, Inc.

Options Analysis Report•AIRCRAFT

Market Cap $6.9B|NYSE

● 2026-08-31$6.98

BULLISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y -47.8%YTD -51.4%7D -2.9%

Options Vol

24,652

30D

Implied Move

±16.7%

IV Rank

JOBY Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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JOBY Gamma Walls

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JOBY Hedge Radar

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Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where JOBY sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (1.83) — downside puts carry 1.9 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 24% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (6.21): it is trading 7% below its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost

1.83/ 10cheap

Basis: cross_sectional

Fragility

6.21/ 10fragile

Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

5.6

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 84.3% — elevated vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.05x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 87% — above sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.76x — contango

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 61.4% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 77.5% (ATM 61.4% + spread 8.1% + bias) — fair

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 16.70% (spread 8.06% + slippage 8.64%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 2.59 (vega 2.091 / spread 8.06%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.9

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Moderate signal (Conviction: -7%, Raw: -2%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -7% (neutral) — Raw: -2%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 54.1% — call-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +18.9%, OI skew +54.1% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -24%, ATM: -5%, OTM: +10% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.6

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 0.9x avg — normal

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 5.5% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +6.5% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 84% — very active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 28% — mixed

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 49% — patient

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -7 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.8

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 8.1% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 446,394 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 24,652/day — active

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$0.40 to cross — cheap

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

1 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 1,329.0 contracts (bid:777.5 ask:551.5) — deep

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 8.64% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.1

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope -24.0% — contango

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 84% — seller opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink -10.4pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 550.37 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -7% @ 54% consistency — unclear

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls6.4

bullishIV fair, mixed flow

Long Puts5.2

bearishIV fair, mixed flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put5.4

bullishIV fair, mixed flow

Covered Call4.8

bearishIV fair, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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