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KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporation

Options Analysis Report•ROLLING DRAWING & EXTRUDING OF NONFERROUS METALS
Market Cap $2.6B|NASDAQ
● 2026-08-31$156.38
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y +104.4%YTD +30.0%7D +2.5%
12
30D
±12.8%
13%

KALU Options Overview

bullish flow. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.8VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

Learn
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KALU Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.8
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 69.9% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.62x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 53% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.98x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 44.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 106.9% (ATM 44.6% + spread 31.1% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 38.25% (spread 31.15% + slippage 7.10%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 14.42 (vega 44.906 / spread 31.15%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.0
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksNeutral - Strong signal (Conviction: +3%, Raw: +0%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +0%

≥15%

|OI skew| 67.3% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +16.7%, OI skew +67.3% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: +0%, ATM: +100%, OTM: -33% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 60% — bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

2.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.7% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +3.9% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 50% — patient

≥30

Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.1
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 31.1% — wide

≥10,000

OI 1,715 — thin

≥500

Volume 12/day — thin

≤$0.50

$1.56 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 74% — wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 31.0 contracts (bid:21.3 ask:9.7) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 7.10% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -1.8% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 70% — neutral

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 828.52 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +3% @ 57% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.8
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts5.1
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.5
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call3.7
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

More on KALU

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