Options/KIE

KIEState Street SPDR S&P Insurance ETF

Options Analysis Report

AUM $602M|ARCX

● 2026-08-31$63.91

VERY BEARISH

Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data

1Y +9.2%YTD +7.4%7D -0.6%

Options Vol

1,848

30D

Implied Move

±5.8%

IV Rank

16%

KIE Options Overview

IV is low with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

Learn

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KIE Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

7.1

ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed

IV Rank

≤35%

IV Rank 21.5% — cheap vs history

IV/HV Ratio

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.76x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 38% — below sector median

Term Structure

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.01x — flat

Skew Normal

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

Absolute IV

<80%

ATM IV 19.9% — normal range

Spread-Adjusted Value

<80%

Effective IV 40.8% (ATM 19.9% + spread 10.4% + bias) — excellent value

Execution Efficiency

<3.0%

Total drag 14.56% (spread 10.43% + slippage 4.13%) — high friction

Vega Efficiency

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 8.65 (vega 9.027 / spread 10.43%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

0.4

BearishBullish

Analyzes

put/call ratios

open interest skew

, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -89%, Raw: -84%)

Flow Direction

|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -89% (strong bearish) — Raw: -84%

OI Skew Magnitude

≥15%

|OI skew| 82.9% — put-heavy

Volume-OI Alignment

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -90.6%, OI skew -82.9% — aligned

Conviction Quality

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

OI Momentum

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

Smart Money Flow

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: -84%, OTM: +100% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 99% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

7.1

QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

block trades

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks6/8 checks passed

Volume Surge

≥1.5x

Volume 2.7x avg — hot

Turnover Rate

≥15%

Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover

Multi-Day Persistence

≥2 days

2 day(s) elevated — sustained

OI Build

≥5%

OI change +4.2% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 62% — active vs sector

Trade Quality

≥30%

Large trade volume 31% — institutional presence

Execution Urgency

≥60%

Aggressive execution 79% — urgent

Flow Conviction

≥30

Conviction -89 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.8

IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

bid-ask spreads

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed

Tradeable Spread

≤5.0%

Spread 10.4% — wide

Adequate OI

≥10,000

OI 51,005 — deep

Active Volume

≥500

Volume 1,848/day — adequate

Reasonable Cost

≤$0.50

$0.52 to cross — expensive

Strike Coverage

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 53% — neutral vs sector

Order Book Depth

≥100 contracts

Depth 199.2 contracts (bid:25.5 ask:173.7) — adequate

Execution Quality

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.13% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.3

RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

time decay

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed

Term Structure Clarity

|slope| ≥5%

Slope +1.5% — flat/unclear

IV Percentile Clarity

<30 or >70

IV percentile 22% — buyer opportunity

Event Detection

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.6pts — no clear event

Theta/Vega Clarity

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 475.08 — favors income trades

Expiration Distribution

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

Event Risk

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

Spread Momentum

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

Flow Momentum

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -89% @ 95% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

Smart Money Timing

≥40 composite score

Score 61 (ITM 20% + inst 31%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers

Long Calls4.3

bullishIV cheap, bearish flow

Long Puts8.3

bearishIV cheap, bearish flow

Premium Sellers

Cash-Secured Put2.9

bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow

Covered Call6.1

bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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