KMTKennametal Inc.
KMT Options Overview
bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
KMT Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 68.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.03x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 66% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.80x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 43.8% — normal range
Effective IV 133.2% (ATM 43.8% + spread 44.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 52.98% (spread 44.72% + slippage 8.26%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.63 (vega 2.805 / spread 44.72%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 57.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +41.7%, OI skew +57.3% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -33%, OTM: +11% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 36% — bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +58.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 17% — patient
Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 44.7% — wide
OI 5,894 — thin
Volume 24/day — thin
$2.24 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 79% — wider than sector
Depth 81.2 contracts (bid:45.1 ask:36.1) — thin
Avg slippage 8.26% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -20.1% — contango
IV percentile 69% — neutral
IV kink -7.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 117.85 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.