LENLennar Corporation Class A
LEN Options Overview
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
LEN Gamma Walls
LEN Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where LEN sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.09) — the move being priced is 1.85x this name's own median 19-trading-day move, and near-dated vol is priced 14% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 19-trading-day realized moves (485 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.75): it is trading 2% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.02x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 87% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.7% — normal range
Effective IV 73.9% (ATM 37.7% + spread 18.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 26.00% (spread 18.08% + slippage 7.92%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.14 (vega 9.299 / spread 18.08%) — acceptable
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +18% (bullish) — Raw: +22%
|OI skew| 17.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +18.1%, OI skew +17.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +14%, ATM: -27%, OTM: +44% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.3% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +24.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 40% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 3% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction +18 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.1% — wide
OI 91,348 — deep
Volume 3,000/day — adequate
$0.90 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 246.89999999999998 contracts (bid:124.1 ask:122.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.92% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -14.2% — contango
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink -5.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 128.08 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 17d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +18% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 33 (ITM 20% + inst 3%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.